Maryland Governor 2026 Rep Primary
The Maryland Governor rep primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Ed Hale the clear favorite at 78%, ahead of Dan Cox at 3% in a 9-candidate field. Ed Hale leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ed Hale — 78%
- Dan Cox — 3%
- John Myrick — 3%
- Carl Brunner — 3%
- L. D. Burkindine — 3%
- Shannon Wright — 3%
- Douglas Larcomb — 3%
- Michael Oakes — 3%
+1 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.