Maryland Governor 2026 Rep Primary

The Maryland Governor rep primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model favors Ed Hale at 69%, ahead of Dan Cox at 4% in a 9-candidate field. Ed Hale leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Ed Hale — 69%
2. Dan Cox — 4%
3. John Myrick — 4%
4. Carl Brunner — 4%
5. L. D. Burkindine — 4%
6. Shannon Wright — 4%
7. Douglas Larcomb — 4%
8. Michael Oakes — 4%

+1 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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