Maryland Governor 2026 General Election
The Maryland Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Wes Moore the heavy favorite at 99%, with Republican Dan Cox at 1%. Wes Moore is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Wes Moore (incumbent) — 99%
- Dan Cox — 1%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.