Maryland Governor 2026 General Election

The Maryland Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Wes Moore the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Ed Hale at 0%. Wes Moore is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Wes Moore (incumbent) — 100%
  2. Ed Hale — 0%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model