Massachusetts 9th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Massachusetts 9th — House dem primary is scheduled for September 1, 2026. The model makes Bill Keating the heavy favorite at 96%, with Craig Swallow at 4%. Bill Keating is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bill Keating (incumbent) — 96%
- Craig Swallow — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.