Massachusetts 8th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Massachusetts 8th — House dem primary is scheduled for September 1, 2026. The model sees a close race: Patrick Roath edges Stephen Lynch, 53% to 47%. Patrick Roath leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements and incumbent Stephen Lynch trails in the forecast. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Patrick Roath — 53%
- Stephen Lynch (incumbent) — 47%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.