Louisiana Senate 2026 Primary
The Louisiana Senate primary is scheduled for November 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Republican John Fleming edges Republican Julia Letlow, 29% to 29% in a 7-candidate field. Bill Cassidy leads the field in reported fundraising, Julia Letlow has the most tracked endorsements, and incumbent Bill Cassidy trails in the forecast. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- John Fleming — 29%
- Julia Letlow — 29%
- Bill Cassidy (incumbent) — 28%
- Jamie Davis — 8%
- Gary Crockett — 3%
- Nick Albares — 2%
- Mark Spencer — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.