Louisiana Senate 2026 Dem Primary
The Louisiana Senate dem primary is scheduled for May 16, 2026. The model favors Jamie Davis at 59%, ahead of Gary Crockett at 39% in a 3-candidate field. Gary Crockett leads the field in reported fundraising and Jamie Davis has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jamie Davis — 59%
- Gary Crockett — 39%
- Nick Albares — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.