Louisiana 5th — House 2026 Primary

The Louisiana 5th — House primary is scheduled for November 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Republican Blake Miguez edges Republican Michael Echols, 42% to 38% in a 12-candidate field. Blake Miguez leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Blake Miguez — 42%
2. Michael Echols — 38%
3. Rick Edmonds — 3%
4. Misti Cordell — 3%
5. Dan McKay — 2%
6. Michael Mebruer — 2%
7. Lindsay Garcia — 2%
8. Tania Nyman — 2%

+4 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model