Louisiana 4th — House 2026 General Election

The Louisiana 4th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Mike Johnson the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Mike Nichols at 0%. Mike Johnson is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Mike Johnson (incumbent) — 100%
  2. Mike Nichols — 0%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

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