Louisiana 3rd — House 2026 Primary
The Louisiana 3rd — House primary is scheduled for November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Clay Higgins at 68%, ahead of Democrat John Day at 12% in a 4-candidate field. Clay Higgins is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Clay Higgins (incumbent) — 68%
- John Day — 12%
- Tia LeBrun — 12%
- Caleb Walker — 9%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.