Louisiana 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Louisiana 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Steve Scalise the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Randall Arrington at 0%. Steve Scalise is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Steve Scalise (incumbent) — 100%
- Randall Arrington — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.