Kentucky Senate 2026 Rep Primary

The Kentucky Senate rep primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model favors Andy Barr at 64%, ahead of Daniel Cameron at 20% in a 11-candidate field. Andy Barr leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Andy Barr — 64%
2. Daniel Cameron — 20%
3. Donald Wenzel — 2%
4. Anissa Catlett — 2%
5. James D. Duncan — 2%
6. Valerie Fredrick — 2%
7. Jonathan M. Holliday — 2%
8. Jimmy I. Leon — 2%

+3 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model