Kentucky Senate 2026 Rep Primary

The Kentucky Senate rep primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model favors Andy Barr at 57%, ahead of Daniel Cameron at 26% in a 11-candidate field. Andy Barr leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Andy Barr — 57%
  2. Daniel Cameron — 26%
  3. Michael Faris — 2%
  4. Donald Wenzel — 2%
  5. Anissa Catlett — 2%
  6. James D. Duncan — 2%
  7. Valerie Fredrick — 2%
  8. Jonathan M. Holliday — 2%

+3 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model