Kentucky Senate 2026 Dem Primary

The Kentucky Senate dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model sees a close race: Charles Booker edges Amy McGrath, 49% to 44% in a 7-candidate field. Amy McGrath leads the field in reported fundraising and Charles Booker has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Charles Booker — 49%
2. Amy McGrath — 44%
3. Dale Romans — 2%
4. Joshua Blanton Sr. — 1%
5. Pamela Stevenson — 1%
6. Logan Forsythe — 1%
7. Vincent Thompson — 1%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model