Kentucky 5th — House 2026 General Election
The Kentucky 5th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Hal Rogers the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Ned Pillersdorf at 0%. Hal Rogers is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Hal Rogers (incumbent) — 100%
- Ned Pillersdorf — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.