Kentucky 4th — House 2026 General Election
The Kentucky 4th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Ed Gallrein the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Melissa Strange at 0%. Ed Gallrein leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ed Gallrein — 100%
- Melissa Strange — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.