Kentucky 4th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Kentucky 4th — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Melissa Strange the heavy favorite at 96%, with Jesse Brewer at 4%. Melissa Strange leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Melissa Strange — 96%
- Jesse Brewer — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.