Kentucky 4th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Kentucky 4th — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Melissa Strange the heavy favorite at 96%, with Jesse Brewer at 4%. Melissa Strange leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Melissa Strange — 96%
- Jesse Brewer — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.