Kentucky 3rd — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Kentucky 3rd — House rep primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Maria Rodriguez the clear favorite at 87%, ahead of Donald Pay at 5% in a 4-candidate field. Maria Rodriguez leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Maria Rodriguez — 87%
- Donald Pay — 5%
- Daniel Cobble — 4%
- David Nichter — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.