Kentucky 3rd — House 2026 General Election
The Kentucky 3rd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Morgan McGarvey the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Maria Rodriguez at 0%. Morgan McGarvey is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Morgan McGarvey (incumbent) — 100%
- Maria Rodriguez — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.