Kentucky 2nd — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Kentucky 2nd — House rep primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Brett Guthrie the heavy favorite at 94%, with G. "Shay" Perry-Adelmann at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Brett Guthrie is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Brett Guthrie (incumbent) — 94%
- G. "Shay" Perry-Adelmann — 3%
- Joshua Ferguson — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.