Kentucky 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Kentucky 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes James Comer the heavy favorite at 91%, with David Sims at 3% in a 4-candidate field. James Comer is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- James Comer (incumbent) — 91%
- David Sims — 3%
- Penny Arcos — 3%
- Bob Sutherby — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.