Kansas Senate 2026 Rep Primary
The Kansas Senate rep primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Roger Marshall the heavy favorite at 97%, with Pond Naramore at 3%. Roger Marshall is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Roger Marshall (incumbent) — 97%
- Pond Naramore — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.