Kansas Senate 2026 General Election
The Kansas Senate general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Roger Marshall the clear favorite at 88%, ahead of Democrat Adam Hamilton at 12%. Roger Marshall is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Roger Marshall (incumbent) — 88%
- Adam Hamilton — 12%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.