Kansas Senate 2026 Dem Primary

The Kansas Senate dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Adam Hamilton the clear favorite at 76%, ahead of Christy Davis at 2% in a 11-candidate field. Adam Hamilton leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Adam Hamilton — 76%
2. Christy Davis — 2%
3. Jason Hart — 2%
4. Patrick Schmidt — 2%
5. Kevin Latz — 2%
6. Damon Anderson — 2%
7. Mike Soetaert — 2%
8. Erik Murray — 2%

+3 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model