Kansas Senate 2026 Dem Primary

The Kansas Senate dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Adam Hamilton the clear favorite at 77%, ahead of Christy Davis at 2% in a 11-candidate field. Adam Hamilton leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Adam Hamilton — 77%
2. Christy Davis — 2%
3. Jason Hart — 2%
4. Kevin Latz — 2%
5. Patrick Schmidt — 2%
6. Damon Anderson — 2%
7. Mike Soetaert — 2%
8. Noah Taylor — 2%

+3 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model