Kansas Senate 2026 Dem Primary
The Kansas Senate dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model sees a close race: Erik Murray edges Patrick Schmidt, 10% to 10% in a 11-candidate field. Sandy Spidel Neumann leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Erik Murray — 10%
- Patrick Schmidt — 10%
- Sandy Spidel Neumann — 10%
- Christy Davis — 9%
- Noah Taylor — 9%
- Anne Parelkar — 9%
- Jason Hart — 9%
- Damon Anderson — 9%
+3 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.