Kansas 4th — House 2026 General Election
The Kansas 4th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Ron Estes the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Katy Tyndell at 0%. Ron Estes is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ron Estes (incumbent) — 100%
- Katy Tyndell — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.