Kansas 2nd — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Kansas 2nd — House rep primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Derek Schmidt the heavy favorite at 97%, with Chad Young at 3%. Derek Schmidt is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Derek Schmidt (incumbent) — 97%
- Chad Young — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.