Kansas 1st — House 2026 General Election

The Kansas 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Tracey Mann the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Colin McRoberts at 0%. Tracey Mann is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Tracey Mann (incumbent) — 100%
  2. Colin McRoberts — 0%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

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