Kansas 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Kansas 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Colin McRoberts the clear favorite at 79%, ahead of Lauren Reinhold at 21%. Colin McRoberts leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Colin McRoberts — 79%
  2. Lauren Reinhold — 21%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

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