Kansas Governor 2026 Rep Primary

The Kansas Governor rep primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model sees a close race: Jeff Colyer edges Philip Sarnecki, 37% to 31% in a 9-candidate field. Philip Sarnecki leads the field in reported fundraising and Doug Billings has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Jeff Colyer — 37%
  2. Philip Sarnecki — 31%
  3. Vicki Schmidt — 6%
  4. Scott Schwab — 5%
  5. Ty Masterson — 5%
  6. Joy Eakins — 5%
  7. Doug Billings — 4%
  8. Charlotte O'Hara — 4%

+1 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

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