Kansas Governor 2026 Rep Primary

The Kansas Governor rep primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model favors Philip Sarnecki at 57%, ahead of Ty Masterson at 13% in a 7-candidate field. Philip Sarnecki leads the field in reported fundraising and Doug Billings has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Philip Sarnecki — 57%
2. Ty Masterson — 13%
3. Vicki Schmidt — 12%
4. Scott Schwab — 7%
5. Charlotte O'Hara — 4%
6. Doug Billings — 4%
7. Stacy Rogers — 4%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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