Indiana 5th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Indiana 5th — House dem primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model favors J. D. Ford at 73%, ahead of Jackson Franklin at 5% in a 7-candidate field. J. D. Ford leads the field in reported fundraising and Jackson Franklin has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. J. D. Ford — 73%
  2. Jackson Franklin — 5%
  3. Dylan McKenna — 5%
  4. Phil Goss — 5%
  5. Deborah Pickett — 4%
  6. Steve Avit — 4%
  7. Tara Nelson — 4%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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