Indiana 4th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Indiana 4th — House rep primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model favors Jim Baird at 70%, ahead of Craig Haggard at 28% in a 3-candidate field. Jim Baird is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jim Baird (incumbent) — 70%
- Craig Haggard — 28%
- John Piper — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.