Indiana 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Indiana 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model makes Barb Regnitz the heavy favorite at 91%, with Jim Schenke at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Barb Regnitz leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Barb Regnitz — 91%
  2. Jim Schenke — 3%
  3. Ben Ruiz — 3%
  4. Richard "Sieg Heil" Mayers — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model