Indiana 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Indiana 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Frank Mrvan at 73%, ahead of Republican Barb Regnitz at 27%. Frank Mrvan is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Frank Mrvan (incumbent) — 73%
- Barb Regnitz — 27%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.