Indiana 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Indiana 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model makes Frank Mrvan the heavy favorite at 97%, with LaVetta Sparks-Wade at 3%. Frank Mrvan is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Frank Mrvan (incumbent) — 97%
- LaVetta Sparks-Wade — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.