Illinois Senate 2026 Rep Primary

The Illinois Senate rep primary is scheduled for March 17, 2026. The model makes Don Tracy the clear favorite at 82%, ahead of Jeannie Evans at 8% in a 6-candidate field. Don Tracy leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Don Tracy — 82%
  2. Jeannie Evans — 8%
  3. Pamela Denise Long — 3%
  4. Casey Chlebek — 3%
  5. R. Cary Capparelli — 2%
  6. Jimmy Lee Tillman — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model