Illinois Senate 2026 Dem Primary
The Illinois Senate dem primary is scheduled for March 17, 2026. The model has Raja Krishnamoorthi narrowly ahead of Juliana Stratton, 48% to 21% in a 10-candidate field. Raja Krishnamoorthi leads the field in reported fundraising and Juliana Stratton has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Raja Krishnamoorthi — 48%
- Juliana Stratton — 21%
- Robin Kelly — 20%
- Kevin Ryan — 2%
- Steve Botsford — 2%
- Jonathan Dean — 2%
- Awisi Bustos — 2%
- Bryan Maxwell — 2%
+2 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.