Illinois Senate 2026 Dem Primary

The Illinois Senate dem primary is scheduled for March 17, 2026. The model sees a close race: Raja Krishnamoorthi edges Juliana Stratton, 42% to 42% in a 10-candidate field. Raja Krishnamoorthi leads the field in reported fundraising and Juliana Stratton has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Raja Krishnamoorthi — 42%
2. Juliana Stratton — 42%
3. Robin Kelly — 7%
4. Kevin Ryan — 1%
5. Steve Botsford — 1%
6. Jonathan Dean — 1%
7. Awisi Bustos — 1%
8. Bryan Maxwell — 1%

+2 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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