Illinois 16th — House 2026 General Election
The Illinois 16th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Darin LaHood the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Paul Nolley at 0%. Darin LaHood is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Paul Nolley has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Darin LaHood (incumbent) — 100%
- Paul Nolley — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.