Illinois 15th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Illinois 15th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 17, 2026. The model favors Paul Davis at 72%, ahead of Jennifer Todd at 21% in a 4-candidate field. Paul Davis leads the field in reported fundraising and Kyle Nudo has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Paul Davis — 72%
- Jennifer Todd — 21%
- Kyle Nudo — 4%
- Randy Raley — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.