Illinois 10th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Illinois 10th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 17, 2026. The model makes Brad Schneider the heavy favorite at 94%, with Morgan Coghill at 6%. Brad Schneider is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Brad Schneider (incumbent) — 94%
- Morgan Coghill — 6%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.