Illinois 8th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Illinois 8th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 17, 2026. The model sees a close race: Melissa Bean edges Junaid Ahmed, 42% to 40% in a 8-candidate field. Neil Khot leads the field in reported fundraising and Kevin Morrison has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Melissa Bean — 42%
2. Junaid Ahmed — 40%
3. Neil Khot — 9%
4. Kevin Morrison — 3%
5. Yasmeen Bankole — 2%
6. Dan Tully — 2%
7. Sanjyot Dunung — 1%
8. Ryan Vetticad — 1%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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