Illinois 5th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Illinois 5th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 17, 2026. The model sees a close race: Tommy Hanson edges Kimball Ladien, 33% to 33% in a 3-candidate field. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Tommy Hanson — 33%
  2. Kimball Ladien — 33%
  3. Barry Wicker — 33%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model