Illinois Governor 2026 General Election

The Illinois Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat JB Pritzker the heavy favorite at 98%, with Republican Darren Bailey at 2%. JB Pritzker is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. JB Pritzker (incumbent) — 98%
  2. Darren Bailey — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model