Idaho Senate 2026 Rep Primary
The Idaho Senate rep primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Jim Risch the heavy favorite at 91%, with Denny LaVe at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Jim Risch is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jim Risch (incumbent) — 91%
- Denny LaVe — 3%
- Josh Roy — 3%
- Joe Evans — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.