Idaho 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Idaho 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Elinor Gilbreath the clear favorite at 84%, ahead of Julie Wiley at 16%. Elinor Gilbreath leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Elinor Gilbreath — 84%
  2. Julie Wiley — 16%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model