Idaho Governor 2026 Rep Primary
The Idaho Governor rep primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Brad Little the clear favorite at 82%, ahead of Mark Fitzpatrick at 3% in a 8-candidate field. Brad Little is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Brad Little (incumbent) — 82%
- Mark Fitzpatrick — 3%
- Sean Calvert Crystal — 3%
- Daniel Fowler — 3%
- Ethan Giles — 3%
- Ron James — 3%
- Lisa Marie — 3%
- Justin Plante — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.