Idaho Governor 2026 Primary

The Idaho Governor primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model sees a close race: Melissa-Sue Robinson edges Paul Sand, 50% to 50%. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Melissa-Sue Robinson — 50%
  2. Paul Sand — 50%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model