Iowa Senate 2026 Rep Primary
The Iowa Senate rep primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model makes Ashley Hinson the heavy favorite at 96%, with Jim Carlin at 4%. Ashley Hinson leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ashley Hinson — 96%
- Jim Carlin — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.