Iowa Senate 2026 Dem Primary
The Iowa Senate dem primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Zach Wahls edges Josh Turek, 50% to 50%. Zach Wahls leads the field in reported fundraising and Josh Turek has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Zach Wahls — 50%
- Josh Turek — 50%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.