Iowa 4th — House 2026 General Election
The Iowa 4th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Chris McGowan the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat David Dawson at 0%. Chris McGowan leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Chris McGowan — 100%
- David Dawson — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.