Iowa 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Iowa 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model makes Mariannette Miller-Meeks the heavy favorite at 96%, with David Pautsch at 4%. Mariannette Miller-Meeks is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks (incumbent) — 96%
- David Pautsch — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.