Iowa 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Iowa 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks at 73%, ahead of Democrat Christina Bohannan at 27%. Mariannette Miller-Meeks is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Christina Bohannan has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks (incumbent) — 73%
- Christina Bohannan — 27%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.