Hawaii 2nd — House 2026 General Election
The Hawaii 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Jill Tokuda the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Brenton Awa at 0%. Jill Tokuda is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jill Tokuda (incumbent) — 100%
- Brenton Awa — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.